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CCS Opportunities in NSW

The impetus for Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) technology is the observed impact of CO2 on climate change.

Implementing CCS represents a significant additional economic and social cost in terms of:

  • additional equipment maintenance and other running costs;

  • a significant drop in net fuel efficiency and consequent faster resource consumption;

  • a significant increase in transportation infrastructure and its environmental impacts; and

  • some very real additional dangers and safety issues. 

The climate gains made need to more than offset these costs.

In 2005-6 World fossil sourced CO2 production is estimated to have totalled around 28,431.7 million tonnes (from all sources including petroleum)[3].  That year NSW sourced coal released 384.3 million tonnes of CO2 worldwide[4]. NSW coal therefore contributed about 0.13% of the total CO2 released. Of this total, around 91 million tonnes of coal sourced CO2 was released in Australia, predominantly in NSW.

Capture

In 2005-6 around 72% of domestic coal consumption was by electricity generators (65.5 million tonnes); 24% by iron making (21.8 million tonnes); and most of the balance to cement manufacture and smaller furnaces.  Lime calcination, the conversion of limestone (CaCO3) to lime (CaO), for cement, releases significant additional quantities of CO2 (0.8 tonne per tonne of cement produced plus the energy used to heat the process and transport the materials). 

The main metallurgical consumer of coal in NSW is iron smelting at Port Kembla.  This initially produces coke oven and blast furnace gas that is distributed around the plant and used as a furnace fuel and for cogeneration of electricity.  Dissolved carbon in the iron is subsequently converted to COxin the steelmaking process.  While it is conceivable that the CO2 eventually released by various processes could be captured, the diversity of release points would make capture and subsequent separation very difficult and costly to implement within the present technological paradigm. 

The Aluminium industry also uses carbon to reduce the oxide but the energy required is provided by electricity (from coal fired stations) and the main source of carbon is from petroleum (as petroleum coke). The scale of CO2 release is an order of magnitude smaller than iron and steel making but capture may be as feasible if the flue gas was processed with that from a nearby a coal burning power station.  Both NSW based aluminium smelters are in the Hunter Valley, near the power generation.

Cement calcination plants are relatively smaller in scale again, and more geographically disperse. They would need additional equipment and energy to capture and process, then transport, the exhaust CO2 and the difficulties involved would probably preclude capture. 

The best prospects for CO2 capture in NSW are the coal fired power stations, predominantly in the Hunter Valley.  In theory the full CCS applied to the CO2 emissions from coal fired electricity generation could reduce overall fossil fuel based emissions from NSW (including those from petroleum and gas) by as much as 25%.  A CO2 reduction target on this scale requires that all of the CO2 from coal powered electricity generation (including that from existing power stations) is successfully captured and stored.

There are substantial technical problems (that translate into increased costs) in converting the existing Hunter Valley stations to capture the CO2.  These stations are air fired so that most of the input (and output) gas is nitrogen (78% of air).  Nitrogen is semi-inert so most passes through the furnace unchanged but it is heated and leaves the plant at above boiling point so energy is consumed.  Raising the combustion temperature by injecting oxygen increases the small proportion of nitrogen that is oxidised to produce troublesome NOx pollutants.  In addition to nitrogen, CO2, NOx, and water vapour; the oxides of sulphur SOx, ash particles and some other trace elements, including compounds of mercury, are present in the flue gas. If allowed to fall below boiling point before being released the oxides react with the water vapour to make liquid acids that can do serious damage to equipment. Under CCS the CO2 component needs to be flushed out of this gas mixture (captured) and compressed. Several separation technologies are being trialled with some success, including ammonia absorption, but the potential costs and unsolved difficulties remain daunting.

The capture stage can be facilitated if the nitrogen is not fed into the furnace in the first place.  This requires a tonnage oxygen plant (common in the steel industry) to feed the combustion. This together with preliminary coal gasification can provide other benefits including improved combustion and thermal efficiency (at the expense of additional energy, capital, maintenance and operating expenses expended in oxygen production) but an entirely different furnace technology is required (to that presently installed) to gain these benefits.

To date trials around retrofitting more advanced Chinese furnace technology have been directed towards less efficient brown coal based plant in Victoria.

 

 

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Travel

Taiwan

 

 

 

In May 2015 four of us, Craig and Sonia Wendy and I, bought a package deal: eleven days in Taiwan and Hong Kong - Wendy and I added two nights in China at the end.  We had previously travelled together with Craig and Sonia in China; Russia, India and South America and this seemed like a good place to do it again and to learn more about the region.

Taiwan is one of the Four Asian Tigers, along with Korea, Singapore and Hong Kong, achieving the fastest economic growth on the Planet during the past half century. Trying to understand that success was of equal interest with any ‘new sights’ we might encounter.

Read more: Taiwan

Fiction, Recollections & News

The Atomic Bomb according to ChatGPT

 

Introduction:

The other day, my regular interlocutors at our local shopping centre regaled me with a new question: "What is AI?" And that turned into a discussion about ChatGPT.

I had to confess that I'd never used it. So, I thought I would 'kill two birds with one stone' and ask ChatGPT, for material for an article for my website.

Since watching the movie Oppenheimer, reviewed elsewhere on this website, I've found myself, from time-to-time, musing about the development of the atomic bomb and it's profound impact on the modern world. 

Nuclear energy has provided a backdrop to my entire life. The first "atomic bombs" were dropped on Japan the month before I was born. Thus, the potential of nuclear energy was first revealed in an horrendous demonstration of mankind's greatest power since the harnessing of fire.

Very soon the atomic reactors, that had been necessary to accumulate sufficient plutonium for the first bombs, were adapted to peaceful use.  Yet, they forever carried the stigma of over a hundred thousand of innocent lives lost, many of them young children, at Hiroshima and Nagasaki.

The fear of world devastation followed, as the US and USSR faced-off with ever more powerful weapons of mass destruction.

The stigma and fear has been unfortunate, because, had we more enthusiastically embraced our new scientific knowledge and capabilities to harness this alternative to fire, the threat to the atmosphere now posed by an orgy of burning might have been mitigated.

Method:

So, for this article on the 'atomic bomb', I asked ChatGPT six questions about:

  1. The Manhattan Project; 
  2. Leo Szilard (the father of the nuclear chain reaction);
  3. Tube Alloys (the British bomb project);
  4. the Hanford site (plutonium production);
  5. uranium enrichment (diffusion and centrifugal); and
  6. the Soviet bomb project.

As ChatGPT takes around 20 seconds to write 1000 words and gives a remarkably different result each time, I asked it each question several times and chose selectively from the results.

This is what ChatGPT told me about 'the bomb':

Read more: The Atomic Bomb according to ChatGPT

Opinions and Philosophy

Population and Climate Change – An update

 

 

Climate

 

I originally wrote the paper, Issues Arising from the Greenhouse Hypothesis, in 1990 and do not see a need to revise it substantially.  Some of the science is better defined and there have been some minor changes in some of the projections; but otherwise little has changed.

In the Introduction to the 2006 update to that paper I wrote:

Climate change has wide ranging implications...  ranging from its impacts on agriculture (through drought, floods, water availability, land degradation and carbon credits) mining (by limiting markets for coal and minerals processing) manufacturing and transport (through energy costs) to property damage resulting from storms.

The issues are complex, ranging from disputes about the impact of human activities on global warming, to arguments about what should be done and the consequences of the various actions proposed.

Read more: Population and Climate Change – An update

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