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Time to fix things

 

 

 

Some of the more dire outcomes of A Crude Awakening are further into the future than suggested and this provides time for technology and knowledge to provide solutions, something it often does very quickly.

If population is controlled and new technologies (like fusion and solar are developed) we may need to have no concerns for our children and grandchildren.  They will certainly see a lot of changes but then so have we.

Change is the spice of life, and in economic terms, change equals consumption and consumption equals production and that is the measure of the economy.   It is just that the means of providing the energy required will need to change.

Rather than destroying the economy, rebuilding a submerged or cyclone ravaged city or moving farming elsewhere stimulates economic activity.  On one hand some people may be financially injured but on the other hand people will be financially advantaged elsewhere and a bit of wealth, and hence power, redistribution is stimulating in itself.

Possibly some cities may be inundated, and people will continue to be upset by cyclones or drought or flood, some people may have to move off the land or onto the land or from the suburbs into high density accommodation, some people may even have to change their holiday or trip to work habits but all of these are just elements in a world of change. 

On a planet that is still geologically unstable, with a sun that varies in temperature and with planetary and galactic orbits that are not circular, and that as a consequence, is periodically visited by ice ages and temperatures much higher than at present, there can be no status quo, no lasting stability.  When the same planet is suddenly inflicted with one species that for most of its existence has not exceeded half a billion but is suddenly heading for nine billion and rapidly destroying the natural balance in the process, change will happen no matter what we do about energy. 

In conclusion, A Crude Awakening makes some very pertinent points.  In particular the world is about to change and this change is unavoidable.  But overall, the message of A Crude Awakening is just too bleak.   The main weakness though is that it fails to make the most important point strongly enough – we must first contain, and then reduce, world population.

 

 

 


Footnotes: 


 

 

[1] Source ABARE  - http://www.abareconomics.com/interactive/energy_dec06/htm/tables.htm

[2] ‘My work involved […] in winter time lighting the ‘kosi’ coke heater and trying to keep it alight, cleaning the ‘kosi’ out and putting the ash into a garden bed. In addition, when sufficient cream had been collected from the cows’ milk, I had to make the cream into butter and being allowed to only use a fork to whisk the cream. This work took hours to do and made your arm very sore.’  Senate Inquiry Into Children in Institutional Care  Submission: Mr. Ralph Doughty

[3] Source ABARE  - http://www.abareconomics.com/interactive/energy_dec06/htm/tables.htm

 

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Travel

Burma (Myanmar)

 

This is a fascinating country in all sorts of ways and seems to be most popular with European and Japanese tourists, some Australians of course, but they are everywhere.

Since childhood Burma has been a romantic and exotic place for me.  It was impossible to grow up in the Australia of the 1950’s and not be familiar with that great Australian bass-baritone Peter Dawson’s rendition of Rudyard Kipling’s 'On the Road to Mandalay' recorded two decades or so earlier:  

Come you back to Mandalay
Where the old flotilla lay
Can't you hear their paddles chunking
From Rangoon to Mandalay

On the road to Mandalay
Where the flying fishes play
And the Dawn comes up like thunder
out of China 'cross the bay

The song went Worldwide in 1958 when Frank Sinatra covered it with a jazz orchestration, and ‘a Burma girl’ got changed to ‘a Burma broad’; ‘a man’ to ‘a cat’; and ‘temple bells’ to ‘crazy bells’.  

Read more: Burma (Myanmar)

Fiction, Recollections & News

Napoleon - the movie

 

As holiday entertainment goes, one could do worse than spend two-and-a-half hours (157 minutes) with Napoleon.

Wikipedia tells us: "Napoleon is a 2023 epic historical drama film directed and produced by Ridley Scott and written by David Scarpa. Based on the story of Napoleon Bonaparte, primarily depicting the French leader's rise to power as well as his relationship with his [first} wife, Joséphine, the film stars Joaquin Phoenix as Napoleon and Vanessa Kirby as Joséphine."

The many battle scenes are spectacular and have been praised for their accuracy.

Read more: Napoleon - the movie

Opinions and Philosophy

A modern fairytale - in a Parallel Universe

 

I've dusted off this little satirical parable that I wrote in response to the The Garnaut Climate Change Review (2008).  It's not entirely fair but then satire never is.

 


 

 

In a parallel universe, in 1920† Sidney, the place where Sydney is in ours, had need of a harbour crossing.

An engineer, Dr Roadfield, was engaged to look at the practicalities; including the geology and geography and required property resumptions, in the context of contemporary technical options. 

After considering the options he reported that most advanced countries solve the harbour crossing problem with a bridge.  He proposed that they make the decision to have a bridge; call for tenders for an engineering design; raise the finance; and build it.  We'll call it the 'Sidney Harbour Bridge' he said; then less modestly: 'and the new crossing will be called the Roadfield Highway'. 

Read more: A modern fairytale - in a Parallel Universe

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